# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-04-08 · 20 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-nrcc-dinner-on-april-8 · as_of 2026-10-26T12:57:08Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-04-08 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-nrcc-dinner-on-april-8 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Linda / McMahon	linda|mcmahon	1	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
China 5+ times	china#5	5	14	11	0.79	YYYYYnYYYn	0.46	hist	yes
Hell 3+ times	hell#3	3	6	4	0.67	YYnYnY	0.45	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.44	hist	no
Gender	gender	1	1	1	1	Y	0.42	hist	yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times	billion|million|trillion#30	30	0	0			0.42	hist	yes
Greenland	greenland	1	7	3	0.43	YnnnYYn	0.41	hist	no
Pipeline	pipeline	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.38	hist	yes
Beautiful	beautiful	1	2	0	0	nn	0.34	hist	yes
Steve / Witkoff	steve|witkoff	1	0	0			0.34	hist	yes
Hamas	hama	1	7	3	0.43	YYnnYnn	0.32	hist	yes
God 3+ times	god#3	3	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.31	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	25	7	0.28	nnnnYnnnYY	0.25	hist	no
Bitcoin / Crypto	bitcoin|crypto	1	77	2	0.03	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	hist	no
Citizenship	citizenship	1	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
El Salvador	el salvador	1	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Job 15+ times	job#15	15	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Panama Canal	panama canal	1	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Popular vote	popular vote	1	0	0			0.38	prior	yes