# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2024-10-04 · 21 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-town-hall · as_of 2026-10-26T15:35:41Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-04 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-town-hall (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during a town hall event in North Carolina.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Million 10+ times	million#10	10	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.63	hist	no
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	0.57	hist	no
China 10+ times	china#10	10	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.56	hist	no
Debate	debate	1	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.52	hist	no
Tax Queen	tax queen	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.48	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	yes
President Xi 2+ times	president xi#2	2	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Tax 10+ times	tax#10	10	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Trans	tran	1	11	7	0.64	YnYYYYnnYY	0.44	hist	no
MAGA 3+ times	maga#3	3	5	3	0.6	YnYnY	0.43	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	19	9	0.47	nnYnnnnnnn	0.43	hist	no
Border 20+	border#20	20	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Hezbollah	hezbollah	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	yes
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.36	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	18	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Disgrace 2+ times	disgrace#2	2	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Kamala 40+ times	kamala#40	40	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Obamacare/Affordable Care Act	affordable care act|obamacare	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Ronald Reagan	ronald reagan	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
School Shooter	school shooter	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Vance	vance	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no