# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2024-09-25 · 18 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-speech · as_of 2026-10-27T17:11:53Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-09-25 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his speech scheduled for Mint Hill, North Carolina, on September 25, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Million 10+ times	million#10	10	3	3	1	YYY	0.68	hist	yes
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.63	hist	yes
Border 25+ times	border#25	25	6	4	0.67	nnYYYY	0.63	hist	no
Trans	tran	1	6	4	0.67	nYnYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	16	9	0.56	YYYnnYnnnn	0.5	hist	no
AI	ai	1	1	0	0	n	0.48	hist	yes
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	6	3	0.5	YnnYYn	0.47	hist	no
Comrade Kamala 3+ times	comrade kamala#3	3	13	5	0.38	YnYYYnnnnn	0.44	hist	no
MAGA 4+ times	maga#4	4	6	1	0.17	nnnnYn	0.39	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	13	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.2	hist	no
China 10+ times	china#10	10	0	0			0.53	prior	yes
Energy 10+ times	energy#10	10	0	0			0.53	prior	no
Inflation 10+ times	inflation#10	10	0	0			0.53	prior	no
Liquid Gold	liquid gold	1	0	0			0.53	prior	yes
NAFTA	nafta	1	0	0			0.53	prior	yes
Putin 2+ times	putin#2	2	0	0			0.53	prior	yes
Reagan	reagan	1	0	0			0.53	prior	no
Trump Reciprocal Trade Act	trump reciprocal trade act	1	0	0			0.53	prior	no