# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-10-22 · 19 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-rally-oct-22 · as_of 2026-10-26T08:17:50Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-22 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-rally-oct-22 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in North Carolina.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	22	16	0.73	YYYnYYYYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	12	8	0.67	nYYnnYYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	11	8	0.73	nYYYYnnYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Tren de Aragua	tren de aragua	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.62	hist	yes
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	11	6	0.55	nnYnYYnYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Beach	beach	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.56	hist	yes
Helene	helene	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Unrealized	unrealized	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	no
Tax 15+ times	tax#15	15	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	yes
FEMA	fema	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.43	hist	no
Phone App	phone app	1	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
French fries	french fry	1	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	yes
China 10+ times	china#10	10	13	5	0.38	YnYnnnnnnY	0.4	hist	yes
MAGA 5+ times	maga#5	5	2	0	0	nn	0.38	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	27	10	0.37	nnnnnYnnnn	0.36	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	11	3	0.27	YnnnYnYnnn	0.36	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	29	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Alien Enemies Act	alien enemies act	1	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Voter ID	voter id	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no