# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-10-21 · 16 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-rally-oct-21 · as_of 2026-10-26T21:14:28Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-21 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-rally-oct-21 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements and topics addressed by Trump at his North Carolina rally.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Border 15+ times	border#15	15	14	11	0.79	YYYYYYnYYY	0.77	hist	yes
China 5+ times	china#5	5	7	6	0.86	YnYYYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Starlink	starlink	1	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	yes
Missile defense shield	missile defense shield	1	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.65	hist	yes
Abortion	abortion	1	8	6	0.75	YnYYYYYn	0.65	hist	no
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	10	7	0.7	YnYYYYnnYY	0.6	hist	yes
Hurricane	hurricane	1	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	yes
Kamala 25+ times	kamala#25	25	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	yes
FEMA	fema	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.49	hist	no
Women's sports	women's sport	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.49	hist	yes
Border 25+ times	border#25	25	10	4	0.4	nnYYYYnnnn	0.46	hist	yes
Beach	beach	1	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	yes
Green New Scam	green new scam	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.45	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	28	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
French fries	french fry	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Teleprompter	teleprompter	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no