# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-09-21 · 18 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-rally · as_of 2026-10-27T11:37:58Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-09-21 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say during his rally scheduled to be held in Wilmington, North Carolina, on September 21, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Border 15+ times	border#15	15	7	5	0.71	nYnYYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Fake News 3+ times	fake new#3	3	3	3	1	YYY	0.68	hist	yes
Rig/Rigged	rig|rigged	1	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.67	hist	yes
China 5+ times	china#5	5	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	0.64	hist	yes
Springfield	springfield	1	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.64	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	13	9	0.69	nYYYYYnnYn	0.64	hist	no
Comrade Kamala 3+ times	comrade kamala#3	3	10	5	0.5	nYnYnYYYnn	0.59	hist	no
Trans	tran	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.51	hist	yes
Border 25+ times	border#25	25	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.48	hist	yes
Moderator	moderator	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.46	hist	no
Haitian	haitian	1	2	0	0	nn	0.41	hist	no
Loomer	loomer	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.34	hist	no
MAGA 4+ times	maga#4	4	4	0	0	nnnn	0.27	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	10	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.18	hist	no
Mark Robinson	mark robinson	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no
Million 10+ times	million#10	10	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Nazi	nazi	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no
Salt/SALT	salt	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no