# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-10-27 · 20 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-new-york-rally-oct-27 · as_of 2026-10-26T09:19:16Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-27 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-new-york-rally-oct-27 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in New York, New York on October 27, at 5:00 PM ET.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	28	22	0.79	YYYYYYYYYY	0.83	hist	yes
China 5+ times	china#5	5	9	8	0.89	YnYYYYYYY	0.72	hist	no
Missile Defense Shield	missile defense shield	1	7	6	0.86	YYYnYYY	0.72	hist	no
Women's Sports	women's sport	1	6	5	0.83	nYYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	14	8	0.57	nYYnYYYYYn	0.63	hist	yes
Pocahontas	pocahonta	1	5	3	0.6	nYYYn	0.62	hist	yes
Inflation 10+ times	inflation#10	10	2	1	0.5	nY	0.5	hist	yes
Russia 5+ times	russia#5	5	2	1	0.5	nY	0.45	hist	no
Tax 30+ times	tax#30	30	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.44	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	14	4	0.29	nYnYnnnYnn	0.36	hist	no
God 5+ times	god#5	5	2	0	0	nn	0.34	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	32	10	0.31	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.29	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	35	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.05	hist	no
COVID 2+ times	covid#2	2	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Green New Scam 3+ times	green new scam#3	3	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
New York 30+ times	new york#30	30	0	0			0.51	prior	no
NYPD	nypd	1	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Police 15+ times	police#15	15	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Too Big To Rig 2+ times	too big to rig#2	2	0	0			0.51	prior	no
World Trade Center	world trade center	1	0	0			0.51	prior	no