# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-09-18 · 19 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-new-york-rally · as_of 2026-10-26T14:55:15Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-09-18 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-new-york-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the content of Trump's speech at the Wednesday Uniondale rally.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Israel	israel	1	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Border 15+ times	border#15	15	6	4	0.67	nYnYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Comrade Kamala 3+ times	comrade kamala#3	3	9	5	0.56	nYnYnYYYn	0.65	hist	no
Fake News 3+ times	fake new#3	3	2	2	1	YY	0.62	hist	yes
Rig/Rigged	rig|rigged	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.61	hist	yes
China 5+ times	china#5	5	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.59	hist	yes
Golf	golf	1	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	no
Secret Service	secret service	1	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.52	hist	yes
Pager	pager	1	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	no
Taylor Swift	taylor swift	1	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	no
MAGA 5+ times	maga#5	5	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
Hispanic	hispanic	1	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	yes
Border 25+ times	border#25	25	2	0	0	nn	0.38	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	9	0	0	nnnnnnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Black Jobs	black job	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no
Deep State	deep state	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no
FBI	fbi	1	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Underdog	underdog	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no