# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-10-31 · 22 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-nevada-rally-oct-31 · as_of 2026-10-27T19:16:06Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-31 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-nevada-rally-oct-31 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting terms used by Trump during his rally in Henderson, Nevada scheduled for October 31, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	17	14	0.82	nYYYYYYYYY	0.78	hist	yes
Women's Sports	women's sport	1	8	7	0.88	nYYYYYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	18	12	0.67	YYYYYnYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Pocahontas	pocahonta	1	7	5	0.71	nYYYnYY	0.69	hist	yes
Missile Defense Shield	missile defense shield	1	9	7	0.78	YYYnYYYnY	0.68	hist	yes
Teleprompter 3+ times	teleprompter#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
Springfield	springfield	1	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.54	hist	no
Melania	melania	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.41	hist	no
Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times	crooked joe|sleepy#5	5	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Tax 20+ times	tax#20	20	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.37	hist	no
MAGA 4+ times	maga#4	4	9	2	0.22	nnnnYnnnY	0.36	hist	yes
God 5+ times	god#5	5	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	18	4	0.22	nnnYnnnnnn	0.27	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	34	10	0.29	nnnnnnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	39	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.04	hist	no
American dream 5+ times	american dream#5	5	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Halloween	halloween	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
IQ	iq	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Nevada 25+ times	nevada#25	25	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Snake	snake	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Tariff 5+ times	tariff#5	5	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Witch	witch	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no