# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-09-13 · 18 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-nevada-rally · as_of 2026-10-27T22:34:07Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-09-13 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-nevada-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say during his rally in Las Vegas, Nevada, scheduled for September 13, 2024, 7 PM ET.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Abortion	abortion	1	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	0.68	hist	yes
Comrade Kamala 3+ times	comrade kamala#3	3	7	4	0.57	nYnYnYY	0.64	hist	yes
Springfield	springfield	1	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	11	8	0.73	YYnYYYYYnn	0.63	hist	yes
Dog	dog	1	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	no
Rig/Rigged	rig|rigged	1	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	yes
Border 15+ times	border#15	15	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.58	hist	yes
China 5+ times	china#5	5	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	hist	yes
Trans	tran	1	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	yes
Cat	cat	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	no
Moderator	moderator	1	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	yes
MAGA 4+ times	maga#4	4	2	0	0	nn	0.34	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.24	hist	no
50 Border States	50 border state	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no
Fake News 3+ times	fake new#3	3	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Haitian 5+ times	haitian#5	5	0	0			0.5	prior	no
Loomer	loomer	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no
Slopadopoulos	slopadopoulo	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no