# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2024-12-08 · 20 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-nbc-interview · as_of 2026-10-25T09:30:03Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-12-08 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-nbc-interview (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say during his interview hosted by NBC News, scheduled to be aired on December 8 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Elon	elon	1	12	11	0.92	YYYYYYYYYn	0.69	hist	no
Israel	israel	1	10	10	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	11	7	0.64	nYYYYYYnnY	0.54	hist	no
Border 5+ times	border#5	5	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.53	hist	yes
China 3+ times	china#3	3	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.49	hist	yes
Mexico	mexico	1	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.46	hist	no
Hunter	hunter	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	yes
Tesla	tesla	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.4	hist	no
DOGE	doge	1	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	no
Kamala	kamala	1	2	0	0	nn	0.39	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	50	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Day One	day one	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Matt Gaetz	matt gaetz	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Pardon	pardon	1	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Pete Hegseth	pete hegseth	1	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Taiwan	taiwan	1	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Tariff 3+ times	tariff#3	3	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Tax 3+ times	tax#3	3	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Ukraine 3+ times	ukraine#3	3	0	0			0.43	prior	yes