# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2024-09-27 · 17 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-michigan-town-hall · as_of 2026-10-26T14:23:22Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-09-27 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-michigan-town-hall (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his town hall scheduled for Warren, Michigan, on September 27, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Border 15+ times	border#15	15	10	8	0.8	nYnYYYYYYY	0.64	hist	no
Trans	tran	1	7	5	0.71	nYnYYYY	0.5	hist	no
China 10+ times	china#10	10	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	yes
MAGA 3+ times	maga#3	3	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.48	hist	no
Elon Musk	elon musk	1	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.45	hist	yes
AI	ai	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.45	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.44	hist	no
Tips	tip	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.44	hist	no
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	7	3	0.43	YnnYYnn	0.39	hist	yes
Inflation 10+ times	inflation#10	10	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	yes
Reagan	reagan	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Black Jobs	black job	1	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	14	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Comrade Kamala 2+ times	comrade kamala#2	2	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Get out and vote	get out and vote	1	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Liquid Gold 3+ times	liquid gold#3	3	0	0			0.43	prior	yes