# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-10-25 · 22 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-michigan-rally-oct-25 · as_of 2026-10-27T00:57:25Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-25 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-michigan-rally-oct-25 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in Traverse City, Nevada on October 25, at 7:30 PM ET.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	25	19	0.76	nYYYYYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	12	9	0.75	YYYYnnYYYY	0.68	hist	yes
Beach	beach	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.63	hist	no
Pocahontas	pocahonta	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.6	hist	yes
Elon 5+ times	elon#5	5	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	no
Women's Sports	women's sport	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.59	hist	yes
Kamala 20+ times	kamala#20	20	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.54	hist	yes
American Dream 3+ times	american dream#3	3	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.5	hist	yes
Hitler	hitler	1	1	0	0	n	0.48	hist	no
Border 25+ times	border#25	25	12	5	0.42	YYYYnnnnYn	0.46	hist	no
China 10+ times	china#10	10	15	6	0.4	YnnnnnnYYn	0.42	hist	yes
NAFTA	nafta	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.41	hist	yes
Ford	ford	1	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	13	4	0.31	nnYnYnnnYn	0.39	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	32	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	hist	no
Death Penalty	death penalty	1	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Detroit	detroit	1	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Frack/Fracking 4+ times	frack|fracking#4	4	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
GM/General Motors	general motor|gm	1	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Mexico 5+ times	mexico#5	5	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
North Carolina 5+ times	north carolina#5	5	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Wall Street	wall street	1	0	0			0.51	prior	yes