# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2024-09-17 · 20 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-michigan-rally · as_of 2026-10-27T06:11:05Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-09-17 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-michigan-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say at his town hall scheduled to be held in Flint, Michigan on September 17.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tampon	tampon	1	12	9	0.75	YnYYYYYnnY	0.64	hist	no
Springfield	springfield	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.59	hist	no
Rig/Rigged	rig|rigged	1	2	2	1	YY	0.56	hist	no
AK-47	ak 47	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Fake News 3+ times	fake new#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
China 5+ times	china#5	5	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.51	hist	yes
Secret Service	secret service	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.51	hist	yes
Border 15+ times	border#15	15	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.51	hist	yes
Comrade Kamala 3+ times	comrade kamala#3	3	8	5	0.62	nYnYnYYY	0.49	hist	no
Trans	tran	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.48	hist	no
Insane Asylum	insane asylum	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47	hist	no
Moderator	moderator	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.47	hist	no
Cat	cat	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.43	hist	no
Haitian	haitian	1	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
Routh	routh	1	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
Loomer	loomer	1	2	0	0	nn	0.39	hist	no
MAGA 4+ times	maga#4	4	3	0	0	nnn	0.36	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.27	hist	no
Pager	pager	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Taylor Swift	taylor swift	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no