# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-06-05 · 19 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-merz-events-on-june-5 · as_of 2026-10-26T03:27:25Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-06-05 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-merz-events-on-june-5 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	1	24	19	0.79	YnYYYYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	12	9	0.75	nnYnYYYYYY	0.64	hist	yes
Make a deal	make a deal	1	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	yes
Big beautiful bill	big beautiful bill	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.53	hist	yes
Tariff 7+ times	tariff#7	7	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Deficit	deficit	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.49	hist	no
Russia / Ukraine 5+ times	russia|ukraine#5	5	2	1	0.5	nY	0.47	hist	yes
Ripped / Ripping	ripped|ripping	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.46	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times	billion|million|trillion#10	10	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.44	hist	yes
European Union	european union	1	0	0			0.42	hist	yes
Nazi / Hitler	hitler|nazi	1	0	0			0.39	hist	no
NATO	nato	1	8	2	0.25	nnnnnYYn	0.38	hist	no
Sanction	sanction	1	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	yes
Drone	drone	1	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.31	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	35	9	0.26	YnYnnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	97	5	0.05	YnnnnYnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Angela / Merkel	angela|merkel	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Germany 7+	germany#7	7	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Nord Stream	nord stream	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes