# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · keynote 2025-11-17 · 21 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-mcdonalds-summit-on-november-17 · as_of 2026-10-27T07:45:38Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-11-17 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-mcdonalds-summit-on-november-17 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Nuclear 2+	nuclear#2	2	3	3	1	YYY	0.62	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	66	34	0.52	nnnnYnnnnn	0.56	hist	no
Crime / Drug	crime|drug	1	0	0			0.56	hist	no
Biden / Obama 5+	biden|obama#5	5	2	1	0.5	nY	0.52	hist	yes
Tax / tariff 10+	tariff|tax#10	10	0	0			0.52	hist	yes
Job 7+	job#7	7	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	62	22	0.35	YYYYYnnYnn	0.51	hist	yes
Google	google	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.5	hist	yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+	billion|million|trillion#10	10	18	11	0.61	YnnYYYnYYY	0.49	hist	yes
America / American 15+	america|american#15	15	0	0			0.48	hist	yes
China / Russia 5+	china|russia#5	5	0	0			0.48	hist	no
Kamala	kamala	1	12	6	0.5	YnnYYYnYYn	0.46	hist	yes
Egg / Beef	beef|egg	1	0	0			0.4	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	1	28	3	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.28	hist	no
Crypto / DOGE	crypto|doge	1	0	0			0.24	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability 3+ times	affordability|affordable#3	3	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Big Mac / Quarter Pounder	big mac|quarter pounder	1	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Communist / Radical 2+	communist|radical#2	2	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Fry / Fries	fry	1	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Happy / Meal	happy|meal	1	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Tucker / Marjorie	marjorie|tucker	1	0	0			0.46	prior	no