# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · presser 2025-01-07 · 12 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-mar-a-lago-press-conference · as_of 2026-10-26T11:00:51Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-01-07 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-mar-a-lago-press-conference (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during a press conference at Mar-a-Lago.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	21	16	0.76	YYYYYYYYnn	0.63	hist	no
MAGA	maga	1	11	10	0.91	YYYYYnYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Border 5+ times	border#5	5	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Elon Musk	elon musk	1	7	4	0.57	YnnYYnY	0.53	hist	yes
Kamala	kamala	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.5	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	51	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Canada	canada	1	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Greenland	greenland	1	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Tax cut	tax cut	1	0	0			0.5	prior	no
Trudeau	trudeau	1	0	0			0.5	prior	yes