# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2024-09-04 · 15 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-lex-friedman-interview · as_of 2026-10-26T18:54:42Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-09-04 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-lex-friedman-interview (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his interview with Lex Friedman.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Marxist	marxist	2	2	1	YY	0.54	hist	yes
Comrade Kamala	comrade kamala	2	2	1	YY	0.53	hist	no
Putin	putin	2	2	1	YY	0.52	hist	yes
Illegal immigration	illegal immigration	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Israel	israel	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Abortion	abortion	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	no
Censorship	censorship	0	0			0.4	hist	no
Civil war	civil war	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Crypto	crypto	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.33	hist	no
Bitcoin	bitcoin	3	0	0	nnn	0.31	hist	no
AI	ai	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Communism	communism	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
IVF	ivf	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Zelenskyy	zelenskyy	0	0			0.44	prior	yes