# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-11-03 · 19 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-kinston-nc-rally · as_of 2026-10-26T14:20:27Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-11-03 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-kinston-nc-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump at the Kinston, NC rally.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Elon	elon	1	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	0.79	hist	yes
Pocahontas	pocahonta	1	11	9	0.82	YYYnYYYYYY	0.79	hist	yes
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	22	15	0.68	YnYYYYYYYn	0.72	hist	yes
Garbage	garbage	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.7	hist	yes
Kamala 25+ times	kamala#25	25	3	3	1	YYY	0.69	hist	no
China 8+ times	china#8	8	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	yes
North Carolina 20+	north carolina#20	20	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
Vote 25+ times	vote#25	25	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	yes
Sex change	sex change	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
MAGA 4+ times	maga#4	4	10	3	0.3	nnnnYnnnYY	0.42	hist	no
RFK	rfk	1	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
Mark Robinson	mark robinson	1	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist	no
Peanut/Squirrel	peanut|squirrel	1	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	37	10	0.27	nnnnnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	23	4	0.17	nnnnnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	44	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.03	hist	no
Cognitively Impaired	cognitively impaired	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Fake News 10+ times	fake new#10	10	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Million 5+ times	million#5	5	0	0			0.49	prior	yes