# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · tv_episode 2025-06-22 · 11 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-iran-address-tonight · as_of 2026-10-26T10:54:41Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-06-22 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-iran-address-tonight (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Make America Great Again	make america great again	1	0	0	n	0.61	hist	no
Invade / Invasion	invade|invasion	0	0			0.41	hist	no
Netanyahu	netanyahu	0	0			0.4	hist	yes
Fordow	fordow	1	1	1	Y	0.45	prior	yes
Bunker buster	bunker buster	1	0	0	n	0.45	prior	no
Surrender	surrender	1	0	0	n	0.45	prior	no
Ayatollah / Khamenei	ayatollah|khamenei	0	0			0.45	prior	no
B-2	b 2	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Regime Change	regime change	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Reza / Pahlavi	pahlavi|reza	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Uranium	uranium	0	0			0.45	prior	no