# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-01-21 · 12 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-infrastructure-announcement · as_of 2026-10-27T19:01:21Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-01-21 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-infrastructure-announcement (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his upcoming infrastructure announcement.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
MAGA	maga	1	12	11	0.92	YYYYnYYYYY	0.55	hist	no
Elon Musk	elon musk	1	10	6	0.6	YnnYYnYYYn	0.52	hist	no
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	15	10	0.67	nnYYYYYYnY	0.49	hist	yes
TikTok	tiktok	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	54	1	0.02	nnnnnnnnYn	0.11	hist	no
AI/Artificial Intelligence 7+ times	ai|artificial intelligence#7	7	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Altman	altman	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Ellison	ellison	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Energy 5+ times	energy#5	5	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
OpenAI	openai	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Oracle	oracle	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Texas	texa	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no