# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2025-01-20 · 24 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-inauguration-speech · as_of 2026-10-25T15:15:54Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-01-20 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-inauguration-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what terms Donald J. Trump will mention during his inauguration speech currently scheduled for January 20, 2025.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	35	28	0.8	YYYYYYYYnY	0.71	hist	no
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	23	16	0.7	YYYYYYnnnn	0.65	hist	no
Border 5+ times	border#5	5	6	5	0.83	YYnYYY	0.61	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	4	4	1	YYYY	0.57	hist	yes
God 4+ times	god#4	4	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	0.55	hist	yes
Elon Musk	elon musk	1	9	6	0.67	YnnYYnYYY	0.52	hist	no
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	14	9	0.64	YnnYYYYYYn	0.52	hist	yes
Rig/Rigged	rig|rigged	1	8	6	0.75	YYnYYYYn	0.51	hist	no
Illegal Immigrant/Immigration	illegal immigrant|immigration	1	0	0			0.5	hist	no
January 6	january 6	1	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	2	0	0	nn	0.44	hist	no
Doge/Dogecoin	doge|dogecoin	1	1	0	0	n	0.43	hist	no
AI/Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0			0.43	hist	no
Kamala	kamala	1	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.42	hist	no
MAGA 4+ times	maga#4	4	11	3	0.27	nnnYnnnYYn	0.4	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	53	1	0.02	nnnnnnnnnY	0.11	hist	no
TikTok	tiktok	1	1	1	1	Y	0.49	prior	no
America 15+ times	america#15	15	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
America First	america first	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Carnage	carnage	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Hell	hell	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Los Angeles	los angele	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Mandate 3+ times	mandate#3	3	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Middle Class	middle class	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no