# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-16 · 20 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-hanukkah-reception-on-december-16 · as_of 2026-10-27T22:13:05Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-16 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-hanukkah-reception-on-december-16 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Board of Peace	board of peace	1	2	2	1	YY	0.53	hist	no
Merry Christmas	merry christma	1	2	2	1	YY	0.51	hist	no
Hell	hell	1	13	6	0.46	YnnYnYYnnY	0.5	hist	yes
Hero / Patriot	hero|patriot	1	0	0			0.5	hist	no
Beautiful 5+ times	beautiful#5	5	7	3	0.43	nYnYnnY	0.48	hist	yes
Job 7+ times	job#7	7	2	2	1	YY	0.47	hist	yes
Thank / Please 20+ times	please|thank#20	20	0	0			0.46	hist	yes
AI / Crypto	ai|crypto	1	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Biden / Obama	biden|obama	1	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	yes
Bibi	bibi	1	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.44	hist	yes
Ivanka / Jared	ivanka|jared	1	0	0			0.41	hist	yes
Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating	obliterated|obliterating|obliteration	1	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.4	hist	yes
Jerusalem	jerusalem	1	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
Dark Cloud	dark cloud	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Bible / Pastor	bible|pastor	1	0	0			0.37	hist	no
Howard / Witkoff	howard|witkoff	1	0	0			0.37	hist	yes
Nazi / Holocaust	holocaust|nazi	1	0	0			0.31	hist	yes
Anti-Semitic / Anti-Semitism	anti semitic|anti semitism	1	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Iran / Nuclear 5+ times	iran|nuclear#5	5	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Jew / Jewish 10+ times	jew|jewish#10	10	0	0			0.41	prior	yes