# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2024-10-15 · 17 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-georgia-speech-oct-15 · as_of 2026-10-27T06:45:02Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-15 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-georgia-speech-oct-15 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his event in Georgia.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Million 10+ times	million#10	10	9	8	0.89	YYYYYYnYY	0.74	hist	yes
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	8	5	0.62	YnYYYYnn	0.64	hist	yes
Trans	tran	1	17	11	0.65	nnYYnYYYnY	0.62	hist	yes
MAGA 3+ times	maga#3	3	7	5	0.71	YnYnYYY	0.58	hist	yes
Elon	elon	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Kamala 20+ times	kamala#20	20	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
China 10+ times	china#10	10	10	4	0.4	YYnYnYnnnn	0.45	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	9	3	0.33	nYnnnYnYn	0.43	hist	no
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	7	3	0.43	nnnYnYY	0.42	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	24	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Bidenomics	bidenomic	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Black men	black men	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Dark MAGA	dark maga	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Defund the police	defund the police	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Inflation 5+ times	inflation#5	5	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Kamalanomics	kamalanomic	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Tax 15+ times	tax#15	15	0	0			0.49	prior	no