# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2024-09-24 · 20 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-georgia-speech · as_of 2026-10-26T07:47:52Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-09-24 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-georgia-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his speech in Georgia.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Marxist	marxist	1	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.68	hist	yes
China 5+ times	china#5	5	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Border 15+ times	border#15	15	9	7	0.78	nYnYYYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Million 10+ times	million#10	10	2	2	1	YY	0.58	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	15	9	0.6	YYYYnnYnnn	0.55	hist	no
Border 25+ times	border#25	25	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.54	hist	yes
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.53	hist	yes
Trans	tran	1	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.53	hist	yes
Comrade Kamala 3+ times	comrade kamala#3	3	12	5	0.42	nYnYYYnnnn	0.49	hist	no
Black Jobs	black job	1	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	no
Salt/SALT	salt	1	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	no
Tips	tip	1	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	12	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
Alaska	alaska	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Make America Affordable Again	make america affordable again	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Mexico	mexico	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
President Xi 2+ times	president xi#2	2	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Social Security	social security	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Tips 3+ times	tip#3	3	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Unrealized	unrealized	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes