# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-08-07 · 8 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-ceremony-today · as_of 2026-10-26T21:50:17Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-08-07 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: v P, p_src hist, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-ceremony-today (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the named event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p
Apple	apple	1	9	7	0.78	nYYnYYYYY	0.57
Joe / Biden 5+ times	biden|joe#5	5	8	6	0.75	YYnYYYYn	0.51
Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterated|obliteration	1	0	0			0.48
Knucklehead / Numbskull	knucklehead|numbskull	1	0	0			0.45
Tariff 7+ times	tariff#7	7	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.41
Friend of mine	friend of mine	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.39
Sanction	sanction	1	7	2	0.29	nYnnYnn	0.39
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	104	5	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08