# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-10-12 · 20 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-california-rally · as_of 2026-10-26T10:37:28Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-12 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-california-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what Donald J. Trump will say during his rally in Coachella, California scheduled for October 12, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	16	10	0.62	YnnYYnYYYn	0.69	hist	yes
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	10	6	0.6	YnnYYnnYYY	0.69	hist	yes
Missile Defense Shield	missile defense shield	1	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.62	hist	yes
Alaska	alaska	1	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	no
Unrealized	unrealized	1	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	8	3	0.38	nYnnnYnY	0.46	hist	no
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	6	2	0.33	nnnYnY	0.46	hist	yes
China 10+ times	china#10	10	9	4	0.44	YYnYnYnnn	0.44	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	23	10	0.43	nnnnnnnnnY	0.42	hist	no
Hurricane 3+ times	hurricane#3	3	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Kamala 35+ times	kamala#35	35	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Tax 30+ times	tax#30	30	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Reagan	reagan	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.35	hist	yes
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	1	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	23	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	no
Elon	elon	1	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
God 10+ times	god#10	10	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Green New Scam 2+ times	green new scam#2	2	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Sleepy/Crooked Joe 3+ times	crooked joe|sleepy#3	3	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Too Big To Rig 3+ times	too big to rig#3	3	0	0			0.51	prior	yes