# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · keynote 2025-11-06 · 22 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-c51-summit-on-november-6 · as_of 2026-10-26T03:21:13Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-11-06 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-c51-summit-on-november-6 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified C5+1 Summit events ("The President participates in Multilateral Meetings with Central Asian Countries" and "The President Participates in a Dinner with Central Asian Countries") on November 6, 2025.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Thank you 8+ times	thank you#8	8	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Eight wars	eight war	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.57	hist	yes
Energy	energy	1	25	17	0.68	YYnYYnnYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Drug	drug	1	19	12	0.63	nYYnnnYYYY	0.55	hist	yes
Nuclear 2+ times	nuclear#2	2	2	2	1	YY	0.54	hist	yes
Middle East	middle east	1	14	7	0.5	YYYnnYYnnn	0.52	hist	yes
Abraham / Kazakhstan	abraham|kazakhstan	1	0	0			0.48	hist	yes
Afghanistan	afghanistan	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.47	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times	billion|million|trillion#12	12	2	1	0.5	nY	0.46	hist	no
Investment	investment	1	19	8	0.42	nYnnnYYYnn	0.45	hist	yes
Biden / Obama 4+ times	biden|obama#4	4	0	0			0.45	hist	yes
President Xi	president xi	1	11	6	0.55	YYYYnnnYnn	0.41	hist	yes
Dead Country	dead country	1	8	3	0.38	YnYnnYnn	0.41	hist	no
Boeing	boeing	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.41	hist	no
Crypto / AI	ai|crypto	1	0	0			0.36	hist	yes
Rare Earth / Critical Mineral	critical mineral|rare earth	1	0	0			0.36	hist	yes
Asia / Asian 8+ times	asia|asian#8	8	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Azerbaijan	azerbaijan	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Best Equipment	best equipment	1	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Caspian Sea	caspian sea	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Russia / China 4+ times	china|russia#4	4	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Soviet	soviet	1	0	0			0.45	prior	no