# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2024-08-22 · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-border-speech · as_of 2026-10-26T10:49:02Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-08-22 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-border-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say at his border speech scheduled for August 22, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
MAGA	maga	1	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.66	hist	no
China 3+ times	china#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	no
Comrade Kamala	comrade kamala	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
World War 3	world war 3	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.46	hist	yes
Alien 3+ times	alien#3	3	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Border 5+ times	border#5	5	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Border Czar	border czar	1	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Fracking	fracking	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Hannibal Lecter	hannibal lecter	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Insane Asylum	insane asylum	1	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Venezuela	venezuela	1	0	0			0.47	prior	yes