# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-12 · 16 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-bill-signing-on-december-12 · as_of 2026-10-27T21:25:08Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-12 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-bill-signing-on-december-12 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China	china	1	81	58	0.72	nYnYYnnnnY	0.62	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	91	51	0.56	YYYYYYYYnY	0.59	hist	no
College / Football	college|football	1	0	0			0.58	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	85	60	0.71	YYYnnnnnYY	0.56	hist	no
Border	border	1	76	45	0.59	nYYYYnYnYY	0.54	hist	yes
Minnesota / Walz	minnesota|walz	1	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	yes
Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating	obliterated|obliterating|obliteration	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.47	hist	no
Stock market / 401k	401k|stock market	1	0	0			0.46	hist	no
Job 10+ times	job#10	10	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.43	hist	no
Thank you / Please 10+ times	please|thank you#10	10	0	0			0.42	hist	yes
Army / Navy	army|navy	1	0	0			0.37	hist	yes
Gold / Golden	gold|golden	1	0	0			0.37	hist	yes
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	1	19	7	0.37	YnnnnnnYnY	0.35	hist	no
ICE	ice	1	20	5	0.25	nnnnnnnnYY	0.35	hist	yes
Love / Loved 5+ times	love|loved#5	5	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Terrible / Horrible 4+ times	horrible|terrible#4	4	0	0			0.4	prior	yes