# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-14 · 33 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-xi-jinping · as_of 2026-10-26T08:45:42Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-14 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-xi-jinping (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time).
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	77	58	0.75	YnYYYYnYnY	1	1	0.73	hist	no
Autopen / Auto Pen	auto pen|autopen	41	28	0.68	YYYYnYnYYn	1	0	0.58	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	169	108	0.64	nYnnYYYnnn	1	1	0.57	hist	no
Iran	iran	100	64	0.64	YnnYnYYYnY	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	140	91	0.65	YnnYYYYnYn	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Friend of mine	friend of mine	14	8	0.57	nYYnYYYYnY	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Farmer	farmer	19	10	0.53	YYnnYYYnYn	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	221	118	0.53	YYYYYnYYYn	1	1	0.47	hist	no
IQ	iq	22	12	0.55	YYYnYYYnnn	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	117	65	0.56	YYnYYnYnnn	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Soybean	soybean	7	3	0.43	YnnnYYn	1	0	0.42	hist	no
Strait / Hormuz	hormuz|strait	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	1	0	0.42	hist	no
Six Seven	six seven	21	8	0.38	YnnYYYYYnn	1	0	0.4	hist	no
Shanghai	shanghai	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.39	hist	no
North Korea / Kim Jong Un	kim jong un|north korea	0	0			1	1	0.39	hist	no
Cookie	cookie	18	10	0.56	nnnnnYYnYn	1	0	0.38	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	143	56	0.39	YYYnnYYnnn	1	1	0.38	hist	no
Ship / Chip	chip|ship	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.37	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	33	9	0.27	nnYnnnYYnn	1	1	0.36	hist	no
Tough Negotiator	tough negotiator	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Tanker	tanker	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	1	0.33	hist	no
Japan / Korea	japan|korea	0	0			1	1	0.33	hist	no
Rare earth	rare earth	9	0	0	nnnnnnnnn	1	1	0.31	hist	no
Kamikaze	kamikaze	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Forbidden City	forbidden city	0	0			1	0	0.31	hist	no
Taiwan / Tibet	taiwan|tibet	0	0			1	0	0.3	hist	no
Covid / Pandemic	covid|pandemic	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	1	0	0.29	hist	no
TikTok	tiktok	52	11	0.21	nYnYnnnYnn	1	0	0.24	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	363	38	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.07	hist	no
Great Wall	great wall	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	no
Hong Kong	hong kong	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	no
Mao	mao	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	no
Peng	peng	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	yes