# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-03-17 · 29 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-the-taoiseach · as_of 2026-10-26T13:20:21Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-17 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-the-taoiseach (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Taoiseach, Michaél Martin, on March 17, 2026.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
New York	new york	1	29	20	0.69	YYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.58	hist	yes
Military / Troops	military|troop	1	0	0			1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 8+ times	billion|million|trillion#8	8	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Soleimani	soleimani	1	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Friend of mine	friend of mine	1	11	6	0.55	YnnnYYnYYY	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Nuclear 3+ times	nuclear#3	3	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
NATO	nato	1	49	25	0.51	YYYYYYnnYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliterating	obliterate|obliterated|obliterating	1	0	0			1	1	0.49	hist	yes
Epic Fury	epic fury	1	14	6	0.43	YYYYYnnnnn	1	0	0.48	hist	no
China	china	1	128	83	0.65	YYYnYYnYYY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Iran 5+ times	iran#5	5	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Heritage / Culture	culture|heritage	1	0	0			1	0	0.44	hist	yes
Peace in the Middle East	peace in the middle east	1	15	8	0.53	nnnYYYnYnn	1	0	0.43	hist	no
Biden / Obama 5+ times	biden|obama#5	5	7	5	0.71	nYYYYnY	1	1	0.42	hist	yes
250 / 250th	250|250th	1	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.41	hist	yes
Ayatollah	ayatollah	1	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.4	hist	no
Tariff 5+ times	tariff#5	5	14	5	0.36	YnnYnnnYYn	1	1	0.36	hist	no
Daddy	daddy	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	11	3	0.27	nnnnYnnnYY	1	0	0.34	hist	no
Greenland	greenland	1	41	16	0.39	nnnnnnYnnn	1	1	0.33	hist	no
Pipeline / Road	pipeline|road	1	0	0			1	1	0.32	hist	no
Ballroom / Arch	arch|ballroom	1	0	0			1	0	0.28	hist	yes
Six Seven	six seven	1	10	2	0.2	nYYnnnnnnn	1	0	0.27	hist	no
UK / United Kingdom	uk|united kingdom	1	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	1	1	0.27	hist	yes
Drone	drone	1	34	6	0.18	nnYnnnnYYY	1	0	0.26	hist	yes
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	1	19	4	0.21	nnnYnnnnYn	1	0	0.22	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	308	30	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.09	hist	no
Ireland / Irish 3+ times	ireland|irish#3	3	0	0			1	0	0.4	prior	yes
Pride / Proud	pride|proud	1	0	0			1	1	0.4	prior	yes