# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2024-08-23 · 16 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-arizona-speech · as_of 2026-10-26T13:45:03Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-08-23 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-arizona-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say during his speech scheduled for August 23 in Glendale, Arizona.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Alien 3+ times	alien#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Border 5+ times	border#5	5	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Border Czar	border czar	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Insane Asylum	insane asylum	1	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	no
Debate	debate	1	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	yes
MAGA	maga	1	7	6	0.86	YYYYYYn	0.55	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.53	hist	yes
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
World War 3	world war 3	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	1	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.45	hist	yes
Comrade Kamala 3+ times	comrade kamala#3	3	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	yes
Beach	beach	1	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Marxist	marxist	1	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Nasty	nasty	1	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Orbán	orban	1	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Space Force	space force	1	0	0			0.46	prior	no