# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-10-16 · 14 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-announcement-today-263 · as_of 2026-10-26T04:42:34Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-10-16 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-announcement-today-263 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Nuclear	nuclear	1	39	27	0.69	nYYYnYYYnY	0.68	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	24	17	0.71	YYnYYYYYYY	0.59	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut down	shut down|shutdown	1	13	9	0.69	YYYYYYYYnY	0.57	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times	billion|million|trillion#10	10	15	8	0.53	nnYYnnYYYn	0.54	hist	yes
China / President Xi	china|president xi	1	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
Biden 3+ times	biden#3	3	10	6	0.6	nYnYYYnYYn	0.51	hist	yes
Venezuela	venezuela	1	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.5	hist	no
Russia / Putin	putin|russia	1	0	0			0.5	hist	yes
AOC / Bernie	aoc|bernie	1	0	0			0.49	hist	no
Tomahawk / Patriot	patriot|tomahawk	1	0	0			0.49	hist	yes
Radical Left 3+ times	radical left#3	3	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	no
Job 10+ times	job#10	10	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	138	8	0.06	YYYnnnnnnn	0.05	hist	no
Thank you 7+ times	thank you#7	7	0	0			0.4	prior	yes