# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-09-02 · 11 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-announcement-today · as_of 2026-10-27T22:07:02Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-09-02 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-announcement-today (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his announcement.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China	china	31	26	0.84	YYYYYYYnnY	0.67	hist	yes
Putin	putin	28	20	0.71	YnnYnnYnYY	0.54	hist	yes
Russia	russia	25	15	0.6	nYnnYYnnnY	0.46	hist	yes
Alien	alien	2	2	1	YY	0.42	hist	no
Mars	mar	6	1	0.17	nnnnnY	0.41	hist	no
Moon	moon	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	14	7	0.5	nnYYnYnnnn	0.37	hist	no
Golf	golf	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.37	hist	no
Emergency	emergency	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	113	5	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Stroke	stroke	0	0			0.39	prior	no