# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2024-10-16 · 17 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-all-female-town-hall · as_of 2026-10-27T07:21:17Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-16 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Kamala 20+ times	kamala#20	20	2	2	1	YY	0.48	hist	no
JD Vance	jd vance	1	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	24	10	0.42	nnnnnnnnYn	0.36	hist	no
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	8	3	0.38	nnnYnYYn	0.34	hist	yes
Taylor Swift	taylor swift	1	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist	no
Abortion 10+ times	abortion#10	10	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Abortion 5+ times	abortion#5	5	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Black women	black women	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Execution	execution	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Laken Riley	laken riley	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Melania	melania	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Ninth month	ninth month	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Parental Rights	parental right	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Roe/Wade	roe|wade	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Women love me	women love me	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Women's sports	women's sport	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Roe v. Wade	roe v wade	1	0	0