# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-10-06 · 17 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-at-wisconsin-rally · as_of 2026-10-27T09:41:58Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-06 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-at-wisconsin-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in Wisconsin.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Million 10+ times	million#10	10	8	7	0.88	YYYYYYnY	0.76	hist	yes
Trans	tran	1	13	8	0.62	YYYYnnYYnY	0.71	hist	yes
China 10+ times	china#10	10	6	4	0.67	YYnYnY	0.64	hist	no
Illegal alien	illegal alien	1	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	no
MAGA 3+ times	maga#3	3	6	4	0.67	YnYnYY	0.63	hist	yes
Missile defense shield	missile defense shield	1	1	1	1	Y	0.6	hist	yes
Comrade Kamala	comrade kamala	1	6	3	0.5	YYnnnY	0.55	hist	no
Elon Musk	elon musk	1	6	3	0.5	YnnYYn	0.47	hist	yes
Kamala 30+ times	kamala#30	30	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	yes
Tax 20+ times	tax#20	20	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	21	9	0.43	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.41	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.36	hist	yes
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	3	0	0	nnn	0.35	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	20	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
JD Vance	jd vance	1	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Kamala 20+ times	kamala#20	20	0	0			0.51	prior	yes