# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · keynote 2025-05-24 · 18 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-at-west-point-commencement-speech · as_of 2026-10-26T06:03:04Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-24 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-at-west-point-commencement-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
God 3+ times	god#3	3	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	0.47	hist	no
Hell	hell	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.44	hist	yes
Fire	fire	1	0	0			0.44	hist	yes
Afghanistan	afghanistan	1	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	yes
Houthis	houthis	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	no
Space Force	space force	1	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	32	9	0.28	nYYYnYnnnn	0.39	hist	no
Dome	dome	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	yes
Woke / Wokeness	woke|wokeness	1	0	0			0.31	hist	no
Bitcoin / Crypto	bitcoin|crypto	1	93	5	0.05	nnnnYnnnnY	0.18	hist	no
America / American 25+ times	america|american#25	25	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Beast	beast	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Enemy 5+ times	enemy#5	5	0	0			0.42	prior	no
F-47	f 47	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Job 5+ times	job#5	5	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Lethal	lethal	1	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
River	river	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Warrior	warrior	1	0	0			0.42	prior	yes