# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · keynote 2025-02-19 · 11 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-at-the-miami-investment-conference · as_of 2026-10-26T17:19:01Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-02-19 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-at-the-miami-investment-conference (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this speech.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Putin	putin	1	9	7	0.78	YYYYnYYnY	0.52	hist	yes
Kickback	kickback	1	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
China 3+ times	china#3	3	6	4	0.67	YnYYYn	0.47	hist	yes
Tax 10+ times	tax#10	10	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.47	hist	yes
DOGE	doge	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.37	hist	yes
AI/Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.3	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	58	1	0.02	nnnnYnnnnn	0.16	hist	yes
Billion 15+ times	billion#15	15	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Canada 5+ times	canada#5	5	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Reciprocal	reciprocal	1	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Tariff 20+ times	tariff#20	20	0	0			0.44	prior	no