# Tim Walz (tim-walz) · debate 2024-10-01 · 23 words · P p:what-will-tim-walz-say-during-the-vp-debate · as_of 2026-10-25T11:47:43Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-01 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-tim-walz-say-during-the-vp-debate (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Tim Walz during the upcoming debate.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Abortion	abortion	1	2	2	1	YY	0.5	hist	yes
Teacher	teacher	1	2	2	1	YY	0.5	hist	yes
Weird	weird	1	0	0			0.43	hist	no
Couch	couch	1	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	no
Coach	coach	1	2	0	0	nn	0.22	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	2	0	0	nn	0.22	hist	no
Abortion 5+ times	abortion#5	5	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Concept	concept	1	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Dog	dog	1	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Football	football	1	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Gun	gun	1	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Haitian	haitian	1	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Helene	helene	1	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Iran	iran	1	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Israel	israel	1	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Kamala Harris 15+ times	kamala harris#15	15	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Kamala Harris 30+ times	kamala harris#30	30	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Obamacare/Affordable Care Act	affordable care act|obamacare	1	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Racist	racist	1	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Trump 20+ times	trump#20	20	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Trump 30+ times	trump#30	30	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Venture Capitalist	venture capitalist	1	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Yale	yale	1	0	0			0.31	prior	no