# Jerome Powell (jerome-powell) · keynote 2025-05-25 · 18 words · P p:what-will-powell-say-at-princeton-commencement-speech · as_of 2026-10-26T19:29:11Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-25 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2024-06-12..2025-05-07 (under 2 keynote transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-powell-say-at-princeton-commencement-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Inflation	inflation	1	1	1	1	Y	8	8	0.48	hist	no
Good afternoon	good afternoon	1	1	0	0	n	8	8	0.32	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.32	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	0	0	n	8	2	0.31	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	1	0	0	n	8	2	0.31	hist	no
Alumni	alumni	1	0	0			8	0	0.38	prior	no
America	america	1	0	0			8	0	0.38	prior	yes
Banking / Banker	banker|banking	1	0	0			8	2	0.38	prior	no
Debt	debt	1	0	0			8	4	0.38	prior	no
Degree 3+	degree#3	3	0	0			8	0	0.38	prior	no
Economy	economy	1	0	0			8	8	0.38	prior	yes
Federal Reserve 2+	federal reserve#2	2	0	0			8	0	0.38	prior	yes
Friends	friend	1	0	0			8	0	0.38	prior	yes
Future	future	1	0	0			8	7	0.38	prior	no
Money	money	1	0	0			8	3	0.38	prior	no
Parents	parent	1	0	0			8	0	0.38	prior	yes
Princeton 5+	princeton#5	5	0	0			8	0	0.38	prior	no
Thank you 3+	thank you#3	3	0	0			8	2	0.38	prior	no