# Barack Obama (barack-obama) · speech 2024-08-20 · 13 words · P p:what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech · as_of 2026-10-25T03:10:44Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-08-20 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v P, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): What will Obama say during DNC speech?
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
Black	black	1	0	0		0.28	yes
Climate change	climate change	1	0	0		0.28	yes
Democracy 3+ times	democracy#3	3	0	0		0.28	yes
Donald Trump	donald trump	1	0	0		0.28	yes
Hope	hope	1	0	0		0.28	yes
Joe Biden	joe biden	1	0	0		0.28	yes
Michelle	michelle	1	0	0		0.28	yes
Muslim	muslim	1	0	0		0.28	no
Obamacare/Affordable Care Act	affordable care act|obamacare	1	0	0		0.28	yes
Pelosi	pelosi	1	0	0		0.28	no
Thank you 7+ times	thank you#7	7	0	0		0.28	yes
Underdog	underdog	1	0	0		0.28	no
Yes we can	yes we can	1	0	0		0.28	no