# Nancy Pelosi (nancy-pelosi) · speech 2024-08-21 · 16 words · P p:what-will-nancy-pelosi-say-during-dnc-speech · as_of 2026-10-25T23:00:21Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-08-21 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v P, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-nancy-pelosi-say-during-dnc-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the content of Nancy Pelosi's speech at the DNC.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
Antisemitism	antisemitism	1	0	0		0.32	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	0	0		0.32	no
Convicted felon	convicted felon	1	0	0		0.32	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	0	0		0.32	no
Democracy	democracy	1	0	0		0.32	yes
Donald Trump 3+ times	donald trump#3	3	0	0		0.32	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	0	0		0.32	no
Israel	israel	1	0	0		0.32	no
January 6	january 6	1	0	0		0.32	yes
Joe Biden 3+ times	joe biden#3	3	0	0		0.32	yes
Obama	obama	1	0	0		0.32	no
Social security	social security	1	0	0		0.32	no
Stocks	stock	1	0	0		0.32	no
Thank you 5+ times	thank you#5	5	0	0		0.32	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0		0.32	no
Weird/Weirdo	weird|weirdo	1	0	0		0.32	no