# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · debate 2024-09-10 · 9 words · P p:what-will-kamala-and-trump-both-say-at-the-debate · as_of 2026-10-25T16:07:52Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-09-10 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-kamala-and-trump-both-say-at-the-debate (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what Kamala Harris and Donald Trump both say at the debate scheduled for September 10, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Putin	putin	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.62	hist	yes
Israel	israel	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.61	hist	yes
Border 5+ times	border#5	5	2	2	1	YY	0.57	hist	no
Abortion	abortion	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.55	hist	yes
Hamas	hama	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
China 2+ times	china#2	2	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Democracy	democracy	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Tip	tip	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no