# Joe Biden (joe-biden) · interview 2024-07-15 · 6 words · P p:what-will-biden-say-during-lester-holt-interview · as_of 2026-10-24T21:00:20Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-07-15 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Democracy	democracy	1	1	1	Y	0.41	hist	yes
Drop out	drop out	3	0	0	nnn	0.19	hist	no
Ballot box	ballot box	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Dictator	dictator	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Ear	ear	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Secret Service	secret service	0	0			0.29	prior	yes