# Joe Biden (joe-biden) · speech 2024-08-19 · 16 words · P p:what-will-biden-say-during-dnc-speech · as_of 2026-10-24T22:43:29Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-08-19 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-biden-say-during-dnc-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): What will Biden say during DNC speech?
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Inflation	inflation	1	1	1	1	Y	0.39	hist	yes
Israel	israel	1	1	1	1	Y	0.39	hist	no
Project 2025	project 2025	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.34	hist	yes
Convicted felon	convicted felon	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.33	hist	yes
Malarkey	malarkey	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.27	hist	no
Resign	resign	1	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Hunter	hunter	1	2	0	0	nn	0.2	hist	yes
Folks 3+ times	folk#3	3	2	0	0	nn	0.19	hist	yes
Alley cat	alley cat	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.16	hist	no
Old	old	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.14	hist	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Donald Dump	donald dump	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no
King	king	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no
MAGA	maga	1	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Pelosi	pelosi	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Weird/Weirdo	weird|weirdo	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no