# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2025-10-22 · 25 words · P p:what-will-be-said-at-2nd-nyc-mayoral-debate · as_of 2026-10-26T04:42:34Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-10-22 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-be-said-at-2nd-nyc-mayoral-debate (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Defund / Defunding	defund|defunding	1	1	1	1	Y	0.61	hist	yes
Rikers / Manhattan	manhattan|riker	1	1	1	1	Y	0.61	hist	yes
Sexual / Harassment	harassment|sexual	1	1	1	1	Y	0.61	hist	yes
Uganda / Venezuela	uganda|venezuela	1	1	1	1	Y	0.61	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Cat / PETA	cat|peta	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Charlie / Kirk	charlie|kirk	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Crypto / DOGE	crypto|doge	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
LGBTQ / Transgender	lgbtq|transgender	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Oligarchy / Wall Street	oligarchy|wall street	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Public transport 3+ times	public transport#3	3	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Rent Control / Rent Controlled	rent control|rent controlled	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Sanctuary city / Hottest city	hottest city|sanctuary city	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Tariff 5+ times	tariff#5	5	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
War Crime / War Criminal	war crime|war criminal	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	2	0	0	nn	0.37	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	0.34	hist	yes
Affordability / Affordable 15+ times	affordability|affordable#15	15	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Genocide	genocide	1	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Immigrant / Migrant 10+ times	immigrant|migrant#10	10	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Jew / Muslim / Christian 30+ times	christian|jew|muslim#30	30	0	0			0.51	prior	no
National Guard 5+ times	national guard#5	5	0	0			0.51	prior	no
New York / New Yorker 45+ times	new york|new yorker#45	45	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
President/Trump 25+ times	president|trump#25	25	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Thousand / Million / Billion 20+ times	billion|million|thousand#20	20	0	0			0.51	prior	yes