# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2026-08-31 (settled) · 20 words · P p:what-trump-named-things-will-trump-mention-in-august-20260728182325261 · as_of 2026-10-27T02:00:32Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-08-31 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-08-19..2026-08-28 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-trump-named-things-will-trump-mention-in-august-20260728182325261 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
# coverage 25 of 36 known appearances transcribed (as of 2026-10-22T14:43:15Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
# text pending: 2 appearances since 2026-08-30 without a transcript yet (tn/th leave them out); newest donald-trump:2026-08-31:remarks: White House video captions, then the official transcript (American Presidency Project) (late)
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree	lower_bound
Trump Derangement Syndrome	trump derangement syndrome	18	13	0.72	nYnYYYYYYn	8	0	0.67	hist	1	1	yes	1	
TrumpRX / TrumpRX Dot Gov	trumprx|trumprx dot gov	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.59	hist	1	4	yes	1	
Trump Gulf / Gulf of Trump	gulf of trump|trump gulf	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump Kennedy Center / Trump-Kennedy Center	trump kennedy center	2	1	0.5	nY	8	0	0.46	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump National / Trump International	trump international|trump national	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	0	0.46	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump Tariff / Trump Tax	trump tariff|trump tax	0	0			8	0	0.46	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump Strait / Strait of Trump	strait of trump|trump strait	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	8	0	0.44	hist	0	0	no		1
Best of Trump	best of trump	3	1	0.33	nYn	8	0	0.43	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump Heights	trump height	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.43	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump Plan	trump plan	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.43	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump Family	trump family	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.41	hist	0	1	no		1
Trump Accord / Trump Peace	trump accord|trump peace	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.39	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump Organization	trump organization	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.39	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump-Class / Trump Fleet	trump class|trump fleet	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.39	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump Card / Trump Gold Card	trump card|trump gold card	3	0	0	nnn	8	0	0.38	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump Tower	trump tower	3	0	0	nnn	8	0	0.36	hist	0	0	no		1
Trump Age / Age of Trump	age of trump|trump age	0	0			8	0	0.49	prior	0	0	no		1
Trump Baby	trump baby	0	0			8	0	0.49	prior	0	0	no		1
Trump Country	trump country	0	0			8	0	0.49	prior	0	3	no		1
Trump Media	trump media	0	0			8	0	0.49	prior	0	0	no		1