# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2026-02-28 (settled) · 22 words · P p:what-nicknames-will-trump-say-by-february-28 · as_of 2026-10-26T07:18:38Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-02-28 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-nicknames-will-trump-say-by-february-28 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed word between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the…
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	51	36	0.71	YYYYYYYnnY	1	1	0.77	hist	0	0	yes	1
Crooked Hillary	crooked hillary	5	3	0.6	YYnYn	1	0	0.59	hist	0	0	yes	1
Sleazebag	sleazebag	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.59	hist	0	0	yes	1
Green New Scam	green new scam	14	10	0.71	YnYYnYYYYY	1	1	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
Newscum	newscum	38	21	0.55	YYYYYYnYYn	1	0	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	42	26	0.62	nYYnnYYYYn	1	0	0.57	hist	0	0	yes	1
Slopadopolous	slopadopolous	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.56	hist	0	0	no	1
Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck	cryin chuck|crying chuck	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Con Job	con job	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.53	hist	0	0	yes	1
Whack Job / Whackjob	whack job|whackjob	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Marjorie Traitor Greene	marjorie traitor greene	4	1	0.25	nYnn	1	0	0.49	hist	0	0	yes	1
Biden Crime Family	biden crime family	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Crazy Bernie	crazy bernie	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Fat Slob	fat slob	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Little Communist	little communist	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Low Energy	low energy	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Piggy	piggy	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Comrade Kamala	comrade kamala	13	3	0.23	nnYnnnnnnn	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	no	1
Rocket Man	rocket man	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.45	hist	0	0	no	1
Pocahontas	pocahonta	23	13	0.57	nYnnnnnYnn	1	0	0.44	hist	0	0	no	1
Low IQ	low iq	8	2	0.25	YnnnnYnn	1	1	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Tampon Tim	tampon tim	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.52	prior	0	0	no	1