# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-07-25 · 17 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL25 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:28:49Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-07-25 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL25 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	12	9	0.75	YYYYnYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	10	8	0.8	YYnYYnYYYY	0.64	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.53	hist	yes
Measles	measle	1	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	no
Yemen / Houthi	houthi|yemen	1	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.5	hist	no
Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora	cyclospora|cyclosporiasis	1	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.43	hist	yes
LeBron	lebron	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.4	hist	yes
Wildfire	wildfire	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.29	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	10	1	0.1	nYnnnnnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Flood / Flooding	flood|flooding	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Fourth Term	fourth term	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Plane / Seaplane	plane|seaplane	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
SpaceX / Starship / Starlink	spacex|starlink|starship	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
White House	white house	1	0	0			0.42	prior	yes